When you see the ISIS Caliphate coming to an end, expect the greater Caliphate to be announced soon. How do I know? It is simple: I always play the game “if I was the devil.”
We have warned as far back as 2014 that Turkey will sooner or later find the excuse for a military incursion into Syria. Was that speculation? Not anymore. Turkey’s military is camped in Northern Syria.
So if I was the devil, an angel of death, I would make a monster, a killing machine doing the most gruesome beheadings, burnings, and drownings. I will then come in as the savior to cloak my Frankenstein, making it look like an angel. As far back as August, 2014, we predicted:
“Turkey by design intends to usher itself as a savior by creating, aiding and abetting its pawn, ISIS, to make havoc then intervene to [supposedly] end the crisis“.
And this is exactly what Turkey did in Syria. ISIS today is slowly transitioning into the Free Syrian Army.
Here, we will explain the end game, not just for Syria, but for Iraq and the entire Middle East, which, a short time from now, will shock the skeptic and the analyst.
Let us carefully examine. Currently, all factions fighting in Syria are, to a greater or lesser degree, the proxies of major powers. They cannot go on fighting without major backing.
Regardless of whether these parties are pro- or anti-Assad, Shia or Sunni, Arab or Kurdish, ISIS or Free Syrian Army, Christian or Muslim … regardless to how this quagmire tries to manipulate their big bosses: the U.S., Russia, Iran, or Turkey; within few weeks from now, these major powers will follow rule number one in politics: betray all factions in order to serve their own interests.
Lets face it. The scenarios of what will happen are only one of two:
1–President Assad Prevails. He must continue to fight until victory. But this needs the backing of Russia, Iran and the Shia in Iraq and Lebanon.
2–The anti-Assad Sunni Islamists To Dominate. This demands the backing from Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
The situation will soon come to conclusion as we see U.S. John Kerry and Russian Lavrov meet in Geneva, while the warring parties in Syria wonder what agreements will be reached behind their backs and behind closed doors to discuss Turkish intervention.
What we will read in the next few weeks will be media reports regarding paranoid factions (but with good reason) how each cause will be sold out by the U.S. (selling out on the Kurds), Russia (selling out the Assad regime), Iran (selling out the Assad regime), or Turkey (supporting the Islamists in Syria by sacrificing ISIS).
You will see scenario #2 prevailing. Islamists will control northern Syria. This will be so for several reasons. We will provide both reason and folly for both the U.S. and Russia:
First reason: both Russia and the U.S. have already expressed that no military solution is the solution and that the only solution is a political solution. This already tells us something: Russia will not come to the aid of Bashar Al-Assad militarily. Russia won the battle against ISIS, but Turkey won the war, exactly as we stated will happen.
The folly: The U.S. and Russia’s views are short sighted and are not considering the long run consequence, which is Turkey’s future expansion.
Second reason: we have elections coming up in the U.S., and democrats badly need a victory over ISIS to silence Donald Trump’s complaints about how poorly the Obama Administration handled the Middle East. The cost (which Trump needs to trumpet) is that the Obama Administration is selling Syria to Turkey and not to the secularists.
This, in fact, is already happening. ISIS had an apparent defeat, which Turkey gladly provided, since it is already absorbing ISIS by simply adding ISIS recruits (and all new recruits including all factions) to what is dubbed as The Free Syrian Army. Shortly, you will not find ISIS, Jabhat Al-Nusra, Ahrar Al-Sham, or the Free Syrian Army … all these factions will unite, very soon.