Month in, month out, recession or not, there has been a strong uptick in the number of healthcare and education jobs. Until now. A few charts will show what I mean.
Education and Health Services Employment 1990-Present
It’s hard to tell much from that picture other than things look very rosy. Let’s have a look in percentage terms.
Trending: Jerry Nadler Suggests If Trump Is Acquitted On Impeachment, 2020 Election Might Not Be “Fair”
Education and Health Services Employment Percent Change
Now let’s hone in on the past year.
Education and Health Services Employment 2013-Present
No Growth!
Education and Health Services Employment Monthly Change in Thousands
The chart appears as if there were several instances of negative numbers in 2003, but a download of the actual data shows the only other negative number in the entire series of data dating back to 1990 occurred in 2003-07-01.
I strongly suspect 2003 was affected by a number of teachers strikes. I could find examples in the Chicago area and in Washington State. I bet there were others. Here is a link regarding Washington: School Board Sues to End Teacher Strike.
Month-to-Month Table (in Thousands)
| Date | Change From Previous Month |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | #N/A |
| 1990-02-01 | 36.3 |
| 1990-03-01 | 41.9 |
| 1990-04-01 | 32.6 |
| 1990-05-01 | 37.4 |
| 1990-06-01 | 40.1 |
| 1990-07-01 | 32.5 |
| 1990-08-01 | 34.3 |
| 1990-09-01 | 32.6 |
| 1990-10-01 | 31.7 |
| 1990-11-01 | 28.6 |
| 1990-12-01 | 35.0 |
| 1991-01-01 | 44.6 |
| 1991-02-01 | 30.6 |
| 1991-03-01 | 32.9 |
| 1991-04-01 | 34.0 |
| 1991-05-01 | 20.5 |
| 1991-06-01 | 45.6 |
| 1991-07-01 | 28.8 |
| 1991-08-01 | 39.7 |
| 1991-09-01 | 32.9 |
| 1991-10-01 | 29.8 |
| 1991-11-01 | 25.3 |
| 1991-12-01 | 37.0 |
| 1992-01-01 | 31.7 |
| 1992-02-01 | 21.2 |
| 1992-03-01 | 20.3 |
| 1992-04-01 | 22.4 |
| 1992-05-01 | 23.5 |
| 1992-06-01 | 25.2 |
| 1992-07-01 | 26.6 |
| 1992-08-01 | 16.7 |
| 1992-09-01 | 20.8 |
| 1992-10-01 | 30.4 |
| 1992-11-01 | 33.1 |
| 1992-12-01 | 23.7 |
| 1993-01-01 | 25.8 |
| 1993-02-01 | 26.4 |
| 1993-03-01 | 14.9 |
| 1993-04-01 | 30.2 |
| 1993-05-01 | 33.7 |
| 1993-06-01 | 23.9 |
| 1993-07-01 | 20.0 |
| 1993-08-01 | 23.2 |
| 1993-09-01 | 31.0 |
| 1993-10-01 | 22.5 |
| 1993-11-01 | 16.1 |
| 1993-12-01 | 16.1 |
| 1994-01-01 | 21.7 |
| 1994-02-01 | 15.7 |
| 1994-03-01 | 33.2 |
| 1994-04-01 | 27.8 |
| 1994-05-01 | 21.1 |
| 1994-06-01 | 21.4 |
| 1994-07-01 | 29.0 |
| 1994-08-01 | 25.6 |
| 1994-09-01 | 20.0 |
| 1994-10-01 | 20.2 |
| 1994-11-01 | 17.4 |
| 1994-12-01 | 26.4 |
| 1995-01-01 | 20.4 |
| 1995-02-01 | 29.6 |
| 1995-03-01 | 27.3 |
| 1995-04-01 | 17.9 |
| 1995-05-01 | 13.7 |
| 1995-06-01 | 29.7 |
| 1995-07-01 | 21.5 |
| 1995-08-01 | 28.4 |
| 1995-09-01 | 24.6 |
| 1995-10-01 | 20.1 |
| 1995-11-01 | 28.3 |
| 1995-12-01 | 26.5 |
| 1996-01-01 | 3.7 |
| 1996-02-01 | 39.4 |
| 1996-03-01 | 29.2 |
| 1996-04-01 | 21.5 |
| 1996-05-01 | 25.5 |
| 1996-06-01 | 23.9 |
| 1996-07-01 | 21.0 |
| 1996-08-01 | 18.7 |
| 1996-09-01 | 22.7 |
| 1996-10-01 | 24.1 |
| 1996-11-01 | 25.9 |
| 1996-12-01 | 18.3 |
| 1997-01-01 | 29.3 |
| 1997-02-01 | 17.8 |
| 1997-03-01 | 21.9 |
| 1997-04-01 | 29.1 |
| 1997-05-01 | 26.1 |
| 1997-06-01 | 7.5 |
| 1997-07-01 | 24.7 |
| 1997-08-01 | 12.6 |
| 1997-09-01 | 15.7 |
| 1997-10-01 | 20.8 |
| 1997-11-01 | 16.7 |
| 1997-12-01 | 26.4 |
| 1998-01-01 | 4.4 |
| 1998-02-01 | 10.4 |
| 1998-03-01 | 11.4 |
| 1998-04-01 | 12.6 |
| 1998-05-01 | 19.4 |
| 1998-06-01 | 12.4 |
| 1998-07-01 | 6.7 |
| 1998-08-01 | 12.2 |
| 1998-09-01 | 18.7 |
| 1998-10-01 | 15.1 |
| 1998-11-01 | 10.9 |
| 1998-12-01 | 10.2 |
| 1999-01-01 | 3.4 |
| 1999-02-01 | 24.4 |
| 1999-03-01 | 14.2 |
| 1999-04-01 | 19.7 |
| 1999-05-01 | 5.4 |
| 1999-06-01 | 9.5 |
| 1999-07-01 | 11.1 |
| 1999-08-01 | 13.0 |
| 1999-09-01 | 5.4 |
| 1999-10-01 | 12.9 |
| 1999-11-01 | 13.8 |
| 1999-12-01 | 11.7 |
| 2000-01-01 | 13.1 |
| 2000-02-01 | 12.0 |
| 2000-03-01 | 10.7 |
| 2000-04-01 | 8.9 |
| 2000-05-01 | 15.0 |
| 2000-06-01 | 19.5 |
| 2000-07-01 | 28.0 |
| 2000-08-01 | 22.1 |
| 2000-09-01 | 25.0 |
| 2000-10-01 | 17.7 |
| 2000-11-01 | 18.4 |
| 2000-12-01 | 30.3 |
| 2001-01-01 | 36.8 |
| 2001-02-01 | 33.7 |
| 2001-03-01 | 28.0 |
| 2001-04-01 | 27.4 |
| 2001-05-01 | 29.7 |
| 2001-06-01 | 41.3 |
| 2001-07-01 | 38.3 |
| 2001-08-01 | 32.5 |
| 2001-09-01 | 25.2 |
| 2001-10-01 | 28.5 |
| 2001-11-01 | 27.1 |
| 2001-12-01 | 33.1 |
| 2002-01-01 | 31.4 |
| 2002-02-01 | 30.1 |
| 2002-03-01 | 27.8 |
| 2002-04-01 | 24.5 |
| 2002-05-01 | 17.9 |
| 2002-06-01 | 21.2 |
| 2002-07-01 | 20.5 |
| 2002-08-01 | 35.3 |
| 2002-09-01 | 45.5 |
| 2002-10-01 | 28.8 |
| 2002-11-01 | 28.6 |
| 2002-12-01 | 13.2 |
| 2003-01-01 | 25.4 |
| 2003-02-01 | 22.9 |
| 2003-03-01 | 21.9 |
| 2003-04-01 | 30.5 |
| 2003-05-01 | 23.2 |
| 2003-06-01 | 19.9 |
| 2003-07-01 | -9.0 |
| 2003-08-01 | 18.2 |
| 2003-09-01 | 13.7 |
| 2003-10-01 | 23.0 |
| 2003-11-01 | 18.7 |
| 2003-12-01 | 27.0 |
| 2004-01-01 | 17.5 |
| 2004-02-01 | 8.8 |
| 2004-03-01 | 36.6 |
| 2004-04-01 | 30.2 |
| 2004-05-01 | 25.2 |
| 2004-06-01 | 15.7 |
| 2004-07-01 | 15.6 |
| 2004-08-01 | 18.8 |
| 2004-09-01 | 15.7 |
| 2004-10-01 | 31.9 |
| 2004-11-01 | 17.3 |
| 2004-12-01 | 20.0 |
| 2005-01-01 | 8.5 |
| 2005-02-01 | 24.2 |
| 2005-03-01 | 15.7 |
| 2005-04-01 | 25.5 |
| 2005-05-01 | 29.4 |
| 2005-06-01 | 30.2 |
| 2005-07-01 | 35.5 |
| 2005-08-01 | 23.0 |
| 2005-09-01 | 21.9 |
| 2005-10-01 | 10.9 |
| 2005-11-01 | 26.1 |
| 2005-12-01 | 13.6 |
| 2006-01-01 | 32.2 |
| 2006-02-01 | 22.9 |
| 2006-03-01 | 30.3 |
| 2006-04-01 | 15.0 |
| 2006-05-01 | 23.0 |
| 2006-06-01 | 22.2 |
| 2006-07-01 | 29.2 |
| 2006-08-01 | 21.5 |
| 2006-09-01 | 33.0 |
| 2006-10-01 | 24.5 |
| 2006-11-01 | 27.2 |
| 2006-12-01 | 38.8 |
| 2007-01-01 | 22.9 |
| 2007-02-01 | 30.4 |
| 2007-03-01 | 26.1 |
| 2007-04-01 | 36.8 |
| 2007-05-01 | 26.0 |
| 2007-06-01 | 38.1 |
| 2007-07-01 | 26.8 |
| 2007-08-01 | 34.8 |
| 2007-09-01 | 32.9 |
| 2007-10-01 | 28.7 |
| 2007-11-01 | 17.0 |
| 2007-12-01 | 27.2 |
| 2008-01-01 | 35.1 |
| 2008-02-01 | 28.0 |
| 2008-03-01 | 30.6 |
| 2008-04-01 | 35.6 |
| 2008-05-01 | 26.2 |
| 2008-06-01 | 24.9 |
| 2008-07-01 | 31.1 |
| 2008-08-01 | 22.2 |
| 2008-09-01 | 13.4 |
| 2008-10-01 | 19.2 |
| 2008-11-01 | 27.8 |
| 2008-12-01 | 23.3 |
| 2009-01-01 | 13.6 |
| 2009-02-01 | 24.3 |
| 2009-03-01 | 7.1 |
| 2009-04-01 | 10.6 |
| 2009-05-01 | 32.3 |
| 2009-06-01 | 25.8 |
| 2009-07-01 | 17.6 |
| 2009-08-01 | 20.1 |
| 2009-09-01 | 21.4 |
| 2009-10-01 | 25.3 |
| 2009-11-01 | 19.5 |
| 2009-12-01 | 16.6 |
| 2010-01-01 | 15.8 |
| 2010-02-01 | 16.0 |
| 2010-03-01 | 32.8 |
| 2010-04-01 | 11.9 |
| 2010-05-01 | 15.6 |
| 2010-06-01 | 17.4 |
| 2010-07-01 | 18.8 |
| 2010-08-01 | 24.1 |
| 2010-09-01 | 8.5 |
| 2010-10-01 | 27.1 |
| 2010-11-01 | 26.3 |
| 2010-12-01 | 26.8 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.8 |
| 2011-02-01 | 17.0 |
| 2011-03-01 | 28.7 |
| 2011-04-01 | 30.0 |
| 2011-05-01 | 13.8 |
| 2011-06-01 | 29.0 |
| 2011-07-01 | 25.5 |
| 2011-08-01 | 27.4 |
| 2011-09-01 | 31.1 |
| 2011-10-01 | 16.6 |
| 2011-11-01 | 6.5 |
| 2011-12-01 | 8.4 |
| 2012-01-01 | 28.6 |
| 2012-02-01 | 32.0 |
| 2012-03-01 | 24.0 |
| 2012-04-01 | 12.9 |
| 2012-05-01 | 31.2 |
| 2012-06-01 | 9.1 |
| 2012-07-01 | 14.4 |
| 2012-08-01 | 10.7 |
| 2012-09-01 | 33.8 |
| 2012-10-01 | 26.4 |
| 2012-11-01 | 17.6 |
| 2012-12-01 | 27.5 |
| 2013-01-01 | 5.3 |
| 2013-02-01 | 23.1 |
| 2013-03-01 | 11.1 |
| 2013-04-01 | 29.7 |
| 2013-05-01 | 12.9 |
| 2013-06-01 | 17.1 |
| 2013-07-01 | 4.1 |
| 2013-08-01 | 43.2 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.7 |
| 2013-10-01 | 22.8 |
| 2013-11-01 | 29.6 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.4 |
| 2014-01-01 | -0.4 |
Back-to-back poor months, the last one negative, do not make a trend. Looking ahead, if this is a start of a new trend, it rates to be very ominous for the employment picture.
For more on the latest jobs data, please see Nonfarm Payrolls +113,000, Median Bloomberg Estimate 180,000; Huge March 2013 Employment Revision
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