Even After The RNC The Race Is Still A Virtual Dead Heat

While polls are showing that Mitt Romney got a six point bump from this week’s Republican National Convention, popular pollsters Rasmussen and Gallup are saying that the race is still basically neck and neck.

Today Rasmussen reports,

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

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As expected, Romney is enjoying a modest bounce from the past week’s Republican National Convention. He trailed the president by two when the convention began and is up by three today. See daily tracking history. He also has gained ground in the swing state tracking results updated daily for subscribers at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.

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They also went on to state,

While the conventions produce short-lived bounces for the campaigns, Scott Rasmussen notes that for many Americans the conventions “provide a stark reminder of how out of touch our political system has become.” He adds, “A half-century ago, conventions mattered because they actually selected presidential candidates. Today, they only serve to remind us that what interests — and entertains — the political class has little to do with what America needs.”

I could not agree more with Rasmussen’s comments here.

Rasmussen was not alone in its analysis. Popular polling firm Gallup produced this chart:

Gallup reports,

These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?” Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

It seems both candidates are locked into a fight here with two months left in the race. Scott Rasmussen also points out the generation gap that exists in the race. Young people continue to favor Barack Obama, while the seniors favor Mitt Romney. The question remains is who will actually be the ones turning out to vote this election season? That will more than likely determine the winner.

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