Even After The RNC The Race Is Still A Virtual Dead Heat


120405_obama_romneyWhile polls are showing that Mitt Romney got a six point bump from this week’s Republican National Convention, popular pollsters Rasmussen and Gallup are saying that the race is still basically neck and neck.

Today Rasmussen reports,

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

As expected, Romney is enjoying a modest bounce from the past week’s Republican National Convention. He trailed the president by two when the convention began and is up by three today. See daily tracking history. He also has gained ground in the swing state tracking results updated daily for subscribers at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.

They also went on to state,

While the conventions produce short-lived bounces for the campaigns, Scott Rasmussen notes that for many Americans the conventions “provide a stark reminder of how out of touch our political system has become.” He adds, “A half-century ago, conventions mattered because they actually selected presidential candidates. Today, they only serve to remind us that what interests — and entertains — the political class has little to do with what America needs.”

I could not agree more with Rasmussen’s comments here.

Rasmussen was not alone in its analysis. Popular polling firm Gallup produced this chart:

Gallup reports,

These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?” Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

It seems both candidates are locked into a fight here with two months left in the race. Scott Rasmussen also points out the generation gap that exists in the race. Young people continue to favor Barack Obama, while the seniors favor Mitt Romney. The question remains is who will actually be the ones turning out to vote this election season? That will more than likely determine the winner.



  • PollsterSchmollster

    Yes I really believe a poll of 3000 supposed people who are asked, very slowly, would you vote for Barack Obama, the DEMOCRAT or Mitt Romney mumble mumble…. and they “extrapolate” and come up with their BS…

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/TVWUUOQEXEPGC2MEBG72TU45WQ Steven

    Polls are a bunch of Crap!!  Romney as much as I wanted Ron Paul is ahead of this Corrupt Moron Illegal Kenyan Born Sunni Muslim Communist Half Breed NOT BLACK for you Morons that has burried us in Massive Debt and his 2013 Budget will add another $1.6 Trillion to our National Debt for a Total of $7.8 Trillion for 5 years thats more debt added to our National debt since the turn of the last century.  Add 43 straight months of record Unemployment of 16% second only to the GREAT DEPRESSION and 48% more people on welfare, 98% more people on Food Stamps, Double the Price of Gasoline, and bringing Facism to our GM take over and Communism to our Presidency with NO NEW TAXES ON THE MIDDLE CLASS but wait 30 new taxes have been approved  9 already in action and AFTER THE ELECTION 21 more NEW TAXES he said Didn’t exist in his Death CARE Bill will start the New Year out Right, Dec. 31,2012.  AND your voting for him Because he kept his promise of fixing our National  Electrial Grid (NOT) fixing as promised our Highways and building new highways (NOT) and fixing our Bridges across the Country that are failing (NOT), what about cutting our National debt in Half instead he added $6 Trillion in 4 Years, that is $2 Trillion more than 8 years of Bush, who I hated but not as much as this Piece of Crap.  Viet Nam Vet 67-68

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Bob-Marshall/100001163952013 Bob Marshall

    ‘If we vote an immoral man into office, we are a traitor to our country.” Norah Webster.  (Father of Education)    Indeed, i tremble for my country when i reflect God is just.” Thomas Jefferson.

    • SpellChecker

      I’m pretty sure you mean NOAH …not a big fan or Norah Jones….

  • Randy

    Geez. Y guys have many times proven these polling people are all commie and owned by Barry. I don’t know why y continue to print. I mean really. I did notice last week that these guys were touting a kinda obscure poll that said Mitt ahead, but y know there just might be one Christian one. And this Obama stopping people from voting. I had not thought of that and so easy. Roll up to rich neighborhood and scare the hell out of the lady in the Cadillac. So much easier than having dead people vote or illegals. Lots of Rep ladies to scare. And of course who would not be scared by an old and new Black Panther. That Barry is a sly devil. We have to get our thugs to get their thugs. Maybe Sheriff Joe.

  • Anne Caston

    How can anyone with any common sense vote for this fool in the WH? He isn’t being truthful and never has been.Ithink when Romney gets around he will swing the polls his way. The polls aren’t the whole story anyway.

  • P Boeing

    From Mark Davis, who sits in for Rush Limbaugh from time to time who remembers his time in Liberal Washington state:  ”there are only two kinds of liberals. Crazy and phony.”

  • Randy131

    “Even After The RNC The Race Is Still A Virtual Dead Heat”, thats what they said the day before, and the day of, the ‘Wisconsin Recall Election’ for Governor Walker, but he won by 9 percentage points.  Democrats claim that excessive money being spent by the ‘PACs’ are giving the Republicans an unfair advantage, but what about the unfair advantage the liberal biased mainstream media gives the Democrats for free?  The false reporting on these polls by the media is just another attempt to give the Democrats an unfair and false advantage, in the hopes the conservatives will think they have no chance, give up, and not vote. 

    If you look at a ‘Bar Chart’ of Bush’s deficits for each of his 8 years as President, you’ll find his first year was high, since he inherited a ‘Recession’ from Clinton that had been going on for 2 quarters, which Bush turned around and started the economy booming for 7 years, and each and every year thereafter Bush’s deficits decreased until his 7th year, which it increased, and then his 8th year increased so much it set a record high that had never been reached before, and the economy went back into the ‘Recession’, which is the one that Obama claims he ended.  What was the ‘Change’ in those last two years of the Bush administration that caused his deficits to go in the opposite direction than they had for the previous 6 years, and caused people to start losing their jobs and the economy to go back into a ’Recession’?  The ‘Change’ was that the Democrats had won majority control of both houses of Congress and all law making abilities, as well as complete control over the budgets, influencing the deficits and increases in the national debt.  The ‘Bar Chart’ shows that as Bush’s deficits decreased each and every year, his economy got better and he created jobs each and every year, until the Democrats got control of the budget and raised the deficits each of Bush’s last two years as President, causing people to lose their jobs and the economy go into a ‘Recession’.  This proves out over the 8 years of the ’Bar Chart’, with comparisons to decreases and increases in deficits being in direct correlation with jobs being created or lost, and the economy going out or into ‘Recession’.  The record deficit, set during Bush’s 8th year as President, by the Democratic majority controlled Congress, has been more than doubled during each and every year Obama has been President, explaining the reason why Obama has not been able to lower the unemployment rate, by the correlation between deficits and employment as shown with Bush’s 8 year ‘Bar Chart’ on deficits, and the unemployment rates of each of those 8 years. 

    IS ANYONE TRULY PAYING ATTENTION TO THE DEFICITS, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND OUR ECONOMY, AND HOW THEY ARE INTERTWINED IN THEIR RELATIONSHIP???  

  • wfwilson6

    When I look at Real Clear Politics poll averaging I see two things:

    1.  A delay in posting polling data showing Romney in the lead
    2.  The addition of polls nobody has ever heard of that show Obama in the lead.

    How can anyone trust these folks ever again??

  • ASP

    How can the AMERICAN PEOPLE be so STUPID to fall for the line of CRAP that comes out of BARRY SOETORO MOUTH

    • June9245

      How can the American People be so stupid to fall for the line of crap the media puts out daily.The media today is simply the implementation arm of the Democrat/Socialist Party. They are simply executing a political agenda, pure and simple, and nothing more. How long will the citizens of America support a media that does not represent their values, morals, ideals or even their tastes?
      The media today is simply the implementation arm of the Democrat/Socialist Party. They are simply executing a political agenda, pure and simple, and nothing more. How long will the citizens of America support a media that does not represent their values, morals, ideals or even their tastes?